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  • Summary & Details

COVID-19 Pandemic・Big Data・Mathematical Model

新型コロナウイルス感染症・ビッグデータ・数理モデル

Detailed Information

Category(J)ホットトピックス

Translation

Category(E)Hot Topics
Author(J)1) 土谷 隆
Author(E)1) Takashi Tsuchiya
Affiliation(J)1) 政策研究大学院大学
Abstract(J)新型コロナウイルス感染症の大流行が始まってから4年近くが過ぎた。本稿ではわが国での経緯を振り返り、本感染症の潜伏期間や世代期間について、伝統的な疫学とは異なる「ビッグデータ」の視点から議論する。また、簡単な数理モデルとビッグデータを結びつけ、基本的パラメータの推計を行った結果を紹介する。

Translation

Abstract(E)It has passed nearly four years since dramatic outbreak of COVID-19. This is the first pandemic after globalization, drastic biotechnology advancement, and development of the internet as a fundamental infrastructure. In this article, we review the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan and make a few observations on incurbation period and generation period of COVID-19 based on bigdata. We introduce a simple mathematical model on spread of the disease, together with estimation of a few crucial parameters.

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